TMF vs VOO
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF vs Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
Quick Verdict
VOO has a lower expense ratio. VOO delivered stronger 1-year returns. VOO offers more diversification with 505 holdings.
Side-by-Side Comparison
| Metric | TMF | VOO | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expense Ratio | 0.90% | 0.03% | |
| AUM | $2.3B | $979.0B | |
| Dividend Yield | 4.08% | 1.09% | |
| Holdings | 14 | 509 | |
| YTD Return | -13.88% | +13.80% | |
| 1Y Return | -15.75% | +23.71% | |
| 3Y Return (annualized) | -18.84% | +21.50% | |
| 5Y Return (annualized) | -34.00% | +13.44% | |
| Volatility (annualized) | 40.7% | 14.1% | |
| Max Drawdown | -93.3% | -34.3% | |
| Fund Family | Direxion Shares ETF Trust | Vanguard (US) | |
| Category | Alternative | Equity | |
| Inception | Apr 16, 2009 | Sep 7, 2010 |
TMF vs VOO Performance
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is a ETF from Direxion Shares ETF Trust and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) is a ETF from Vanguard (US). Over the past year TMF returned -15.75% while VOO returned +23.71%. Year to date, TMF is down 13.88% versus a gain of 13.80% for VOO.
Over three years, TMF compounded at -18.84% per year against +21.50% for VOO; over five years the annualized figures are -34.00% and +13.44% respectively. Across the full 16-year window we track, VOO has the edge at +13.58% annualized vs -7.85%. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Risk: Volatility and Drawdowns
TMF has been the more volatile fund, with annualized monthly volatility of 40.7% compared with 14.1% for VOO. Lower volatility generally means a smoother ride, though it often comes with lower long-run returns.
The deepest peak-to-trough decline in our data was -93.3% for TMF and -34.3% for VOO. Drawdown depth is worth weighing if you expect to sell during market stress rather than ride it out.
The two funds' monthly returns correlate at -0.04. They move independently enough that combining them can meaningfully diversify a portfolio.
Fees and Cost Over Time
TMF charges 0.90% per year while VOO charges 0.03%. On a $10,000 position that is $90 vs $3 annually, a gap of $87 per year that compounds over a long holding period. On income, TMF currently yields 4.08% against 1.09% for VOO.
Holdings Overlap
TMF and VOO share 0 holdings out of 510 unique holdings combined, representing a 0.0% weight overlap.
Moderate overlap means holding both could provide meaningful diversification benefits.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which is cheaper, TMF or VOO?
TMF has an expense ratio of 0.90% while VOO charges 0.03%. VOO is the cheaper option. On a $10,000 investment, that is $87 per year of difference.
Which performed better, TMF or VOO?
Over the past year TMF returned -15.75% vs +23.71% for VOO, so VOO leads on 1-year performance. Over the longest common window we track (16 years), TMF annualized -7.85% vs +13.58% for VOO. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Which is riskier, TMF or VOO?
TMF has been the more volatile fund at 40.7% annualized versus 14.1% for VOO. Worst drawdown: TMF -93.3% vs VOO -34.3%.
Should I hold both TMF and VOO?
TMF and VOO have a monthly-return correlation of -0.04, so combining them can provide real diversification depending on your allocation goals.
What is the holdings overlap between TMF and VOO?
TMF and VOO share 0 common holdings with a 0.0% weight overlap. Combined, they hold 510 unique securities.
Which pays a higher dividend, TMF or VOO?
TMF yields 4.08% while VOO yields 1.09%, so TMF currently pays the higher dividend yield.
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