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Real Potential Gross Domestic Product 29.4T for 

Real Potential Gross Domestic Product came in at 29.4T for Q4 2036, up 0.44% from 29.3T the prior quarter and 1.76% above its level of 28.9T one year ago. The series has averaged 12.6T since 1949, reaching a record high of 29.4T in October 2036 and a record low of 2.245T in January 1949.

Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), St. Louis Fed

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Cite this data: "Real Potential Gross Domestic Product," MarketXLS. Data from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), St. Louis Fed. marketxls.com/indicators/potential-gdp

Historical Data

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October 1, 203629.4T
July 1, 203629.3T
April 1, 203629.2T
January 1, 203629.1T
October 1, 203528.9T
July 1, 203528.8T
April 1, 203528.7T
January 1, 203528.6T
October 1, 203428.4T
July 1, 203428.3T
April 1, 203428.2T
January 1, 203428.1T
October 1, 203327.9T
July 1, 203327.8T
April 1, 203327.7T
January 1, 203327.5T
October 1, 203227.4T
July 1, 203227.3T
April 1, 203227.2T
January 1, 203227T
⋮
⋮
October 1, 199210.6T
July 1, 199210.6T
April 1, 199210.5T
January 1, 199210.4T
October 1, 199110.3T
July 1, 199110.3T
April 1, 199110.2T
January 1, 199110.2T
October 1, 199010.1T
July 1, 199010T
April 1, 19909.954T
January 1, 19909.885T
October 1, 19899.817T
July 1, 19899.748T
April 1, 19899.68T
January 1, 19899.611T
October 1, 19889.542T
July 1, 19889.472T
April 1, 19889.403T
January 1, 19889.333T

About Real Potential Gross Domestic Product

What it measures

Real Potential GDP (FRED series GDPPOT) is the Congressional Budget Office's estimate of the maximum sustainable output the US economy could produce with full use of labor and capital, without generating inflation pressure. It is a modeled quarterly series expressed in chained dollars, including CBO projections extending years into the future.

Why it matters

Comparing actual GDP to potential yields the output gap, a core input to assessments of economic slack and monetary policy stance. When actual output runs above potential, inflation pressure tends to build; when it runs below, unemployment is typically elevated. Analysts use the series to judge how much room the economy has to grow.

How to read it

Potential GDP moves smoothly because it reflects estimated trend productivity and labor force growth, not the business cycle. Read it alongside actual real GDP: a widening shortfall implies slack, while output exceeding potential implies an overheating economy. Remember it is a model-based estimate that CBO revises as methodology and data change, so historical gaps can be restated.

Get Real Potential Gross Domestic Product in Excel

Pull Real Potential Gross Domestic Product directly into your spreadsheet with a single MarketXLS formula - always current, no copy-pasting:

=RealPotentialGDP()

View the Real Potential Gross Domestic Product formula documentation or browse all 100+ Economic Data functions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current Real Potential Gross Domestic Product?

Real Potential Gross Domestic Product is 29.4T as of October 2036.

What is the all-time high and low of Real Potential Gross Domestic Product?

The highest value on record is 29.4T (October 2036) and the lowest is 2.245T (January 1949).

How often is Real Potential Gross Domestic Product updated?

Real Potential Gross Domestic Product is published on a quarterly basis, sourced from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED).

How do I get Real Potential Gross Domestic Product in Excel?

Use the MarketXLS Excel formula =RealPotentialGDP() to pull Real Potential Gross Domestic Product directly into any cell, with historical values available for analysis.

Basic info
Real potential GDP is the estimate of the output the economy would produce with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources.
RegionUnited States
FrequencyQuarterly
Last updatedFebruary 27, 2026
Seasonal adjustmentNot Seasonally Adjusted
UnitBillions of Chained 2017 Dollars

Stats
Last Value29.4T
Latest PeriodQ4 2036
Last UpdatedFebruary 27 2026, 03:05
Value Previous Quarter29.3T
Change From Previous Quarter0.44%
Value 1 Year Ago28.9T
Change From Year Ago1.76%
Average Growth Rate2.98%/yr
Record High (Oct 2036)29.4T
Record Low (Jan 1949)2.245T
Long-Term Average12.6T
FrequencyQuarterly
AdjustmentNot Seasonally Adjusted
UnitBillions of Chained 2017 Dollars

Annual Averages
203629.3T
203528.7T
203428.2T
203327.7T
203227.2T
203126.7T
203026.2T
202925.7T
202825.2T
202724.7T
202624.1T
202523.6T

Related Indicators
Real Gross Domestic Product
Real Personal Consumption Expenditures
Real Gross Private Domestic Investment
Real Government Spending
Real Net Exports of Goods and Services
Real Exports of Goods and Services
Real imports of goods and services
Federal Receipts
Federal Net Outlays
Federal Surplus or Deficit
US Federal Debt (Total Public Debt)
Real Private Nonresidential Fixed Investment
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